The Wizard of Odds analyses the best tips and previews from Ballarat as we head another big week of racing.
There is a horse at big odds he has rated better than what the market suggests and race six brings us his best of the day.
Ballarat race 3
Brancusi knocked up badly late in her debut race over 1000 metres at Echuca.
The three-year-old filly trained by Jason Warren & Dean Krongold raced on a heavy track when pinging to the lead and looking the winner at the top of straight.
She, unfortunately, failed to let down with any sprint late in the race with the heavy-rated track likely to be the key reason she finished so poorly.
Finding the front here is exactly the type of advantage she needs again and expect her to run a much improved race.
She has a big jockey booking engaged with in-form apprentice Josh Richards attempting to pilot her to victory.
Suggested Bet: Brancusi each-way at $31 the win and $5.5 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Quinella 7 & 10
Ballarat race 6
A very interesing jockey engagement with Damian Lane teaming up with Team Cerchi to ride this eight-year-old gelding.
He has had no public trial or jumpout form to get a gauge on his form leading up to this race, but last preparation he ran well over further than 1200 metres.
Lane needs to ascertain a spot at least within a pair or two of the leaders and he draws the right barrier to do so.
Expecting this horse to firm significantly due to the booking of Lane.
We can back it each-way at the current price to be safe.
Suggested Bet: Pritchard each-way at $7.5 the win and $2.2 the place.
Ballarat race 7
Telekinesis started a very well-backed $2.70 favourite last time he raced in BM-58, but was well beaten after a tough run.
On a blustery day at the Ballarat synthetic track, the six-year-old gelding was planted three wide with no cover.
He had to travel extra ground as well as contending with the wind gushing in his face and it made for seventh place finish.
Young apprentice Tianna Chapman has been booked by trainer Henry Dwyer in order to claim four kilos and it should see this horse deep in the finish.
Looks a fantastic each-way bet.
Suggested Bet: Telekenisis each-way at $5.5 the win and $2 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Boxed Trifecta – 2, 3, 4
Ballarat Race 8
#7 Yulong Status
Yulong Status looks ready to fire.
He resumes off a five-month break after running and being well beaten by smart stayer Liqueuro in the Bendigo St Ledger trial over 2200 metres.
The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained galloper has shown some nice form in his most recent jumpout to suggest he is going to be wound up for this first-up effort.
Damian Lane being selected to ride is the big lead here and he should be able to find a nice spot in the run from a middle barrier.
This four-year-old gelding will clearly get better as he steps up in distance given he is bred by Tavistock, but he has showed enough speed in his jumpout to indicate he can win this race.
Suggested Bet: Yulong Status win at $2.8