State of Origin Game Three heads to Gold Coast as we preview the best bets and value propositions for head to head, first goal scorer and total points markets.
NSW V QLD
July 14th 8:10pm
It might be a dead rubber but pride is at stake when New South Wales hosts Queensland at CBUS Super Stadium on Wednesday.
The Blues sealed its State of Origin 2021 crown with a thumping 26-0 victory in game two following a 50-6 thumping of the Maroons in game one.
It has been the most one-sided origin series in recent memory with the Blues defence holding Paul Green’s squad to only one converted try across the first two fixtures.
But it is expected Brad Fittler will play a ‘weakened’ side in the final fixture which may represent an opportunity for the Maroons to restore the respect it has lost.
However, it might not be enough given the tumultuous series was made even worse by Jai Arrow being fined and booted out of the squad for COVID related health and safety breaches.
Tom Trbojevic is expected to start and he can win this game off his own ability.
Suggested Bet: NSW Blues -12.5 at $1.97
Suggested Same Game Multi:
Leg 1: NSW +13
Leg 2: J. Addo Carr anytime tryscorer
Leg 3: Total points scored under 47.5
Combined odds = $6.25
Tom Trbojevic/James Tedesco
Usually we play it fair and suggest a first try scorer for both teams, but this is an all-blue affair.
Tom Trbojevic has proven his worth as not only one of Manly’s best ever, but a NSW Blues champion who racks up try after try.
He was the first try scorer in game one and is worth a play in the last game.
James Tedesco, for the majority of the NRL Premiership season, has been in good early try-scoring form for Sydney.
He represents good value at double figure odds.
Tom Trbojevic first tryscorer at $7.5
James Tedesco first tryscorer at $10
total points scored
The 26-0 scoreline in game two suggested NSW had well and truly put the proverbial cue in the rack having known it had the series stitched up late in the game.
Now, it is simply a question of how motivated the Blues are given the clear talent edge and form they have over the Maroons.
The combined score in game three has gone under 46.5 points from the 2016 series.
A lot of the NSW squad will have their eyes on the regular premiership season with this series result all over.
Doubt this will be the high-scoring affair we saw in game one.
Suggested Bet: Total points under 46.5 points at $1.91