The Group 3 Bletchingly Stakes is the feature event this Saturday at Caulfield. With the current season ending and spring just around the corner, this meeting will be an important form guide moving forward!
Caulfield Race 6
Kin looks to have a mortgage on this event. The Impending filly is racing in great spirit, and she will appreciate the significant drop in grade. Her last start win was first-class, and she looks to have one hoof on the till with the apprentice claim. From barrier twelve, she will drift back and watch the race unfold, and if she doesn’t get too far out of her ground through the race’s middle stages, I expect her to figure in the finish. Hard to toss!
Cotel was good without winning last-start at Flemington. The form out of the race has stood up since, and she meets easier opposition on Saturday. The Charge Forward filly will appreciate the drop back to 1100m, and I expect she will sit closer to the speed from the inside draw. The Peter Moody polish must be respected, and if she doesn’t spend her pennies early, she can greet the judge before her rivals.
Tycoon Jenny looks over the odds. The Written Tycoon filly was a dominant winner on debut, and she looks to have further natural improvement to come. From the middle gate, she will roll forward and take up the pole position, and if she can pinch some cheap sectionals throughout, she can cause a boilover. The sharp class rise is the primary concern.
Suggested Bet: Kin @ $2.00
Caulfield RACE 7
Brereton can bounce back after a disappointing campaign to date. The Zoustar colt headed to Brisbane full of confidence; however, the less said about his performances up north, the better. Since returning to Victoria, he has won a jumpout impressively, and he looks suited racing back at this level. He has previously raced well at the track, and I expect him to lead the field around the final bend. If he can recapture his best form, he is a winning chance at a decent price!
Va Via will start favourite after a mind-blowing win at the track and distance. The Astern filly broke all the clocks on course, and her turn of foot had to be seen to be believed! From the middle gate, she will sit midfield with some cover, and if she is presented with her run at the right time, she can fight out the finish. She now takes on the boys!
Desiah is too consistent to dismiss. The Pariah filly is racing well this preparation; her next win is just around the corner. From barrier four, I expect her to sit in the box seat, and if she can rail like a greyhound on straightening, she can run a drum at the big odds! The class rise is the primary concern.
Suggested Bet: Brereton @ $10.00
Caulfield Race 8
The enigmatic It’sourtime doesn’t know how to run a bad race. The Time For War gelding was game in defeat last start at Flemington, and he only needs to run up to his lofty standards to figure in the finish on Saturday. His record at the track and distance is exceptional, and it would take a brave judge to write him off in any event he enters. He will sit outside the speed from the middle gate, and if he handles the Caulfield bend entering the home straight, he can kick away and win. He can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
Ingratiating can bounce back after a flat first-up performance in the Sir John Monash Stakes. The Frosted gelding bombed the start, and I thought he only ran home ok without threatening. The step out to 1200m is advantageous, and if he can stay in touch with the leaders during the early stages of the race, he can gobble up his rivals late. Take on trust.
General Beau is knocking on the door. The Brazen Beau gelding has been thereabouts all campaign, and he finds a very winnable assignment. His last-start third was ominous, and he should get the run of the race from the perfect inside draw. His form around the talented Sigh reads well for this event, and he always grows an extra leg at Caulfield. His recent winning record is the biggest deterrent.
Suggested Bet: It’sourtime @ $4.60
Caulfield Race 9
#1 St Lawrence
St Lawrence is a winning machine. The Redwood gelding has only tasted defeat once in his career, and only bad luck in running can stop him from greeting the judge first on Saturday. His last-start win was brave and gutsy, and I expect he will roll forward here and make his own luck from the inside draw. The apprentice claim makes his rivals task that much harder, and there has been significant market support for the rising five-year-old. A flat second-up run is a real possibility after a demanding and taxing first-up performance.
El Rocko can run a big race at cricket-score odds. The Fastnet Rock gelding has had a luckless campaign, and with a change of fortune, he can challenge and threaten his more fancied rivals. His record at the distance is consistent, and his best form puts him into winning calculations. The carpark draw and his career strike rate are among the primary concerns.
Barretta will have supporters after producing a stunning campaign to date. The Australia gelding has won two out of his last three starts and deserves his shot at this level. The drop back to 1400m could prove the winning difference, and he should be rock-hard fit at this stage of his preparation. Barrier twelve may decide his fate during the early stages of the race.
Suggested Bet: St Lawrence @ $2.70