Eight races from Cranbourne on Friday night with the rail out seven metres.
The track usually favours those who race on the speed, but it will be even more so with the rail out as far as it is.
A betting opportunity arises in the first, while the best of the night reveals itself in race four.
Cranbourne race 1
#2 fabiola
Having a bet that is heavily based on the speed map in this race.
Fabiola looks like the likely leader in a race void of early speed and Craig Newitt is the perfect jockey to control terms.
This three-year-old filly by staying sire Polanski might not have the best form on the board when looking purely at finishing position, but her form has depth for a race like this.
She was not set up well last start having to drop down 200 metres from 1800 metres to 1600 metres and was left a little flat footed.
Getting up to 2000 metres, being able to dictate out in the lead and rolling along without being impeded is exactly what she needs.
She has the residual fitness advantage over these distances compared to the favourite and represents a good bet.
Suggested Bet: Fabiola each-way at $5.5 the win and $2.10 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Quinella 1 & 2
cranbourne race 4
#2 adir star
John Sadler saddles up his three-year-old gelding Adir Star for a second career start after acquiring him from the Ciaron Maher & Dave Eustace stable.
He debuted at Ballarat over 1200 metres on a heavy track after being very well tried in the betting, but found the going a little difficult to finish fourth of nine runners.
He was tipped out immediately and looks to have returned a better horse.
Sadler has opted to give him the ultimate gear change by gelding him.
Young Matthew Cartwright just needs to be positive from the barriers and land this horse near to or in the lead.
Suggested Bet: Adir Star win at $2.20
cranbourne race 6
#5 waylaid
Shea Eden has finally unlocked the key to Waylaid and he has him ticking along nicely.
After breaking his maiden in devastating fashion at Pakenham over 1400 metres, he went to Echuca over the mile at BM-58 level, but was pipped out in a photo finish.
He had to take his medicine and sit outside the lead in that Echuca race rather than controlling the tempo on his own.
This Cranbourne event looks to really open up for him on the speed map and Daniel Moor can ping to the lead.
The rail out seven metres is going to advantage him and it should allow him to ping off the home bend.
Suggested Bet: Waylaid each-way at $5 the win and $2.35 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Boxed Trifecta – 5, 6, 8
cranbourne race 7
#5 hinto blue
Hinto Blue is the each-way play of the night.
The Hayes boys have gone for the blinkers to get his concentration levels up and hopefully it proved the difference.
He went up the wrong price when markets first opened and has been snipped, but is still value at the current price.
The market had him as a $2.80 chance in at this course and distance in BM-64 grade last start.
Although he did disappoint, as always, you have to pay respect to the last start price.
He is going to get a perfect run with cover close to the leaders and should be, at bare minimum, running top three.
Suggested Bet: Hinto Blue each-way at $6 the win and $2.15 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Boxed Trifecta – 3, 5, 7, 8
