The $1,000,000 Showdown headlines the program at Caulfield and The Bel Espirit Stakes sees the return of gun sprinter of Extreme Warrior.
Shelby SixtySix makes a trek down south to tackle the VOBIS Gold Sprint.
All the suggested bets and confidence ratings are in for a cracking card at the Heath.
caulfield race 1
#6 vasmee
Vasmee has the edge to win this race.
He was given a pox ride at Flemington in a tougher race and then went to Sandown and braved it out from a wide barrier with 61.5kgs.
He is a tough bugger of a horse and should be able to control the lead here from a wide gate.
Gets some weight relief which will help his cause.
Suggested Bet: Vasmee win at $3.90
Confidence Rating: 6/10
caulfield race 2
#11 blistering
Sirileo Miss probably has this lot covered, but her price is ridiculously short and this is a race to not get too heavily involved with.
Blistering could very well be the bet in this event.
She will have gained plenty of conditioning from her effort over 1400 metres last start when taking the step up from 1100 metres.
Love the way she charged to the line and she has now had the run over the distance, which will mean her stamina is right up to the mark now.
Craig Williams booked and should run a good each-way race.
Suggested Bet: Blistering each-way at $6.5 the win and $1.85 the place.
Confidence Rating: 4.5/10
caulfield race 3
#3 tobaysure
This is a case of a race-hardened horse having the edge over his more talented opposition.
Tobaysure is not the most prolific horse in this VOBIS Sires Guineas, but what he lacks for in class he makes up for in race fitness over the mile.
His win over 1600 metres in a Class One race was a very strong after leading all the way and he has some very short starting prices which suggest he is better than provincial grade.
Gets his chance to win in town and will be leading them up with Daniel Moor in the saddle.
Suggested Bet: Tobaysure win at $2.80
Confidence Rating: 8/10
caulfield race 4
#6 ain'tnodeeldun
Tough race to assess with Ain’tnodeeldun and Grandslam having a stranglehold on this race, but neither being amazingly set up to win.
Going to side with Ain’tnodeeldun who has returned to races in fine style through his first two runs this campaign.
He resumed in the Shaftesbury Avenue (1400m) and then went to the mile in BM-84 grade last start and was hitting the line nicely in a race dominated by the leader.
He is a horse who will appreciate getting to 2000 metres and beyond, which is where he finds himself here.
Damian Lane just needs to be a positive from the barriers to place him in a winning position.
If he does not win this race, but runs well, follow him fourth-up.
Suggested Bet: Ain’tnodeeldun win at $2.80
Confidence Rating: 5.5/10
caulfield race 5
#4 scissor step
Scissor Step produced a slashing turn of gear to win when resuming over 1100 metres at Caulfield.
He finds himself at this track and distance in a race that sets up sweetly for him.
Damian Lane can take the trailing run behind Midwest from the inside barrier, peel out and let down with the finishing burst to run over the top.
Tough to see this horse getting beaten if he shows any elevation from his last-start win.
Suggested Bet: Scissor Step win at $3.80
Confidence Rating: 7.5/10
caulfield race 6
#1 Bello Beau
As far as unlucky runs, none were more brutal than Bello Beau at Moonee Valley last start.
The Tasmanian raider for Adam Trinder was truck loaded in the betting of the St Albans Stakes on March 25 and only ran up backsides in the home straight.
He should have won, but he gets his chance here.
The middle barrier shapes up perfectly here and Trinder has applied the blinkers for the first time.
Should be able to sweep to the from up the middle of the Caulfield straight and have an unimpeded run to the winning post.
Suggested Bet: Bello Beau win at $2.50
Confidence Rating: 8/10
caulfield race 7
#12 swats that
Not sure how this field gets near Swats That.
She is a genuine Group 1 galloper who finds herself in a VOBIS race on the minimum weight.
The only thing which might beat her is being cramped and held up from an inside barrier, but she has ‘The GOAT’ in Damien Oliver to sort that out.
Has the best turn of foot of anything in this race.
Suggested Bet: Swats That win at $2.80
caulfield race 8
#11 la chevalee
La Chevalee was the subject of a strong betting move at Bendigo, however, she might have been one run short of her best.
She raced like a horse that is looking for further than 1400 metres and she gets to the mile here.
Third-up is a big tick and we know this stable loves to build their horses into a preparation rather than having them peak early.
Jamie Kah aboard to pilot this mare around Caulfield and looks to get the suck run in behind the leaders.
Hoping Kah can follow Adele Amour through, peel off her back and go straight past her.
Suggested Bet: La Chevalee win at $4.6
Confidence Rating: 6.5/10
caulfield race 9
#9 extreme warrior
Was touted as a Group 1 winner this autumn, but a throat infection held him back from attacking the big sprint races.
He looks to have recovered from that setback with some very slick jump outs.
The mounting yard will be a critical factor in the confidence levels.
If he shows great muscle definition and parades in a calm fashion, he will be smashing this lot.
Whatever he does here he will only improve on, but he looks to have panels on this lot from a class factor.
Suggested Bet: Extreme Warrior win at $2.10
Confidence Rating: 8.5/10
