Eight races are ahead of us for racing at Geelong on Tuesday.
All the best bets will be targeted at horses who need to have a strong fitness base and the ability to handle heavy going.
geelong race 1
A two-year-old gelding from the Lloyd Kennewell stable who seemed to move nicely in his two jump outs.
Both were run in a tick over 48 seconds over 800 metres at Cranbourne and he travelled well on the bridle in both, while being given a bit of a squeeze to extend towards the back end of each.
Seems to be a horse who will handle the wet going, which is going to be critical as is drawing either a middle to wide gate with the track likely to be playing down the outside.
Stable is going well at the moment and has notched away a handful of winners over the last month, giving us confidence.
Suggested Bet: Lonergy each-way at $6 the win and $2.60 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Boxed Trifecta – 3, 5, 9
geelong race 3
#9 palatial rock
He is the big query runner of this race being the only horse not to have had a start.
He has shown gradual improvement with each jump out and actually won his most recent effort over 1300 metres.
No doubt he will have a strong enough residual base of fitness to run well.
The stable is going great guns at the moment having had winners galore over the last month.
Should be able to handle the wet going without too much fuss and is a worth a ticket at the price.
Suggested Bet: Palatial Rock win at $5
Suggested Exotic: Trifecta – 9, 10/ 1, 9, 10/ 1, 9, 10, 11, 12
geelong race 4
#1 cadbury castle
If there was ever a stayer in the midst of the Lindsey Smith stable, Cadbury Castle would take the cake.
He is by gun sire Camelot whose off-spring almost always get up over distance.
This horse resumed over 1850 metres on April 10 and acquitted himself strongly.
That run is going to have him come on beautifully for this race and the rise to 2450 metres is ideal for him.
Think he can tag the back of odds-on favourite Enosi, get cover from the windy conditions and let down with a sprint late in the race to beat them all.
Suggested Bet: Cadbury Castle win at $2.50
geelong race 7
#10 home rule
Has not won a race since his maiden victory back in February last year, but today looks like his day.
The four-year-old gelding for Maddie Raymond is now hitting peak fitness which is exactly what is needed to handle these type of heavy tracks.
He ran well behind I Am Me on soft going at Ballarat in a class one last start and that form looks good enough for a race like this.
Get the services of Johnny Allen who will find the best ground in the straight from the middle pin.
Suggested Bet: Home Rule win at $3.20