Horse Racing Tips

Ballarat Cup Day Tips & Previews, Saturday 20th November

The best bets and value plays from the experts at BetDeluxe ahead of Ballarat Cup Day this Saturday.

Ballarat hosts its feature day with Ballarat Cup Day taking the headlines for Saturday thoroughbred racing in Victoria. 

The BetDeluxe team has gone through all the best bets and value propositions for the main race and the rest of the program. 

Ballarat Race 1

#1 Frankie Pinot

Fitness and wet weather.

Those are the two big things in favour of Frankie Pinot as he steps out again in what has been a brilliant campaign. 

Tony and Calvin McEvoy have this gelding flying at the moment and if not for a vicious headwind in the Flemington straight might have very well been a Flemington Spring Carnival winner. 

But alas, he rocks up here at Ballarat in a very plain race that has a small field which will see him settle one pair behind the leaders. 

His problem has been drawing wide barriers and having to make up too much ground, but he will not have to worry about that in this race. 

Hoping Madison Lloyd can really inject some pace into this race and take off early by using the strong fitness base this horse has over Lighthouse and Kurabui.  

Suggested Bet: Frankie Pinot win at $3.4

Suggested Exotic: Trifecta – 1/ 4, 6/ 4, 6

ballarat race 2

#7 Decent Raine

Gets a nice weight swing on a few of the opposition in this race which she faced at Flemington over 1400 metres last start.

She settled a bit too far back last start and draws wide for an eight-horse field, but it is likely that Jye Mcneil will press forward and follow Wangoom into the race and then attempt to take the sit with cover. 

Any rain that comes for this filly will be a bonus with her sole career victory coming on a heavy track. 

Fitness on her side and we can trust her trainers Ciaron Maher & Dave Eustace will have her sound despite being deep into her preparation. 

Suggested Bet: Decent Raine win at $2.7

Suggested Exotic: Boxed First Four – 2, 3, 6, 7

Ballarat Race 5

#5 The Gauch

Have been waiting to see what race Ciaron Maher & Dave Eustace select for The Gauch and they have placed him perfectly.

He carried the 60.5kgs over 1200 metres in BM-80 grade and was run down late by Exeter who is a Moonee Valley specialist.

The four-year-old gelding now tumbles down in the weights being allotted 54kgs and having 2kgs taken off from that with Matthew Cartwright’s claim. 

He will either find the lead or sit in the one-out and one-back position and let down with his sprint when he needs to. 

Conditions likely will not effect his chances with this horse having the ability to handle both dry and wet tracks. 

Suggested Bet: The Gauch win at $2.7

Ballarat race 8

#14 Ghodeleine

Ghodeleine was given a tough time of it at Flemington in the Group 3 Matriarch Stakes when having to sit three deep with no cover for the majority of the race. 

She was surging to the line, but the run eventually took its toll late in the race and she might just have felt the pinch from the start before when she won the Moe Cup in what was a slog-fest on a heavy track. 

The market actually warmed to her last start which suggests she is going along very well back at her home stables. 

Taking the punt that she has come through the Flemington run in good order and any rain around Ballarat with enhance her chances. 

Barrier nine should hopefully see her land midfield with cover and be able to use that sustained sprint she has under her locker to run a big each-way race.  

Suggested Bet: Ghodeleine each-way at $14 the win and $4.2 the place. 

Suggested Exotic: Boxed First Four – 11, 12, 14, 15, 16

Ballarat race 9

#6 Orleans Rock

Do not mind the set up here for Orleans Rock coming back from the 2000-metre distance to the mile.

This looks a really high-pressure race for this grade and having plenty of stamina and a big base of fitness looks as though it is going to be needed big time. 

He has been racing on dry country tracks that usually favour horses on the pace, which is not his running style. 

He is a horse who gets back and runs on late and it looks as though it will be fine being drawn a touch wide with the fields likely to come off the fence as they day progresses and the rain tumbles in. 

He has very good credentials in the wet and should be in the finish at each-way odds here. 

Suggested Bet: Orleans Rock each-way at $9 the win and $3 the place.

Tips.BetDeluxe is your home for Horse Racing. Check out all our Horse Racing tips & previews here. Serious Tips for Serious Punters.

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