Horse Racing Tips

The Kosciuszko Tips & Preview, Saturday October 16th

The Bet Deluxe runner-by-runner guide for the richest country race on Australian turf - The Kosciuszko.

The Kosciuszko.

$1,300,000 prize money is on offer for country trainers and connections in this sprint at Randwick.

The Bet Deluxe team has put its form hat on and penciled in the runners you need to keep an eye on and the ones to forget about come Saturday afternoon. 

#1 Handle The Truth

Keith Dryden

The clear class runner of this race who comes back from Group 2 level after running down the field against Eduardo and Nature Strip. 

Gets the class horse weight with 59kgs and looks very well placed to win this race. 

Deserves the tag of favouritism and is the top selection with a soft barrier draw allowing him to perch in behind what will be a slick lead speed.

Odds: $4.2 the win
Finishing position: First

#2 front page

Geoff Duryea

Looks to have returned to somewhere his best after missing a little while with injury.

Was gapped by Lombardo last start, which is not the worst form line given that horse is airborne at the moment. 

The barrier is a clear concern and he is unlikely to find the front as well. 

Odds: $7.5 the win and $2.6 the place
Finishing position: Seventh

#3 Art Cadeau

Terry Robinson

A highway handicap marvel who is going to look the winner at some stage in the race.

Comes into the event with three wins in a row , but has to contend with this race being his first after six months away in the paddock. 

This is clearly his big target race and he gets the services of Tommy Berry who has a fantastic association with this horse. 

Drawn to get the run alongside Handle the Truth and will be trying to pocket the top pick at the top of the straight. 

Odds: $5.5 the win and $2.15 the place
Finishing position: Second

#4 Plonka

Warren Gavenlock

A true country horse marvel who tries his heart out at every start.

He is not going as well as he is previous campaigns and is yet to have a winning at Randwick from three starts. 

Prefer to risk him and side with others.  
 

Odds: $26 the win and $6.5 the place.
Finishing position:  Eleventh

#5 Aheadofhistime

Trevor Hardy

Trevor Hardy saddles up his first ever runner in this event.

Will be hoping to collect some sort of prize money cheque, but it will not be the winners one unless he finds another five-seven lengths on his current form.  

Odds: $51 the win and $12 the place.
Finishing position: Last

#6 Spiranic

Rodney Northam

James McDonald has opted to ride this in-form five-year-old mare, which is a great guide in itself.

Barrier eight presents McDonald with the chance to be positive early and then take the trailing run with cover. 

Bit of a question mark on her city credentials and she was well beaten by Art Cadeau when she went head to head with him. 

A top five chance.  

Odds: $8 the win and $2.7 the place.
Finishing position: Fifth

#7 Edit

Cody Morgan

Cody Morgan is one of the best country trainers in Australia and he combines with champion jockey Hugh Bowman.  

This sprinter’s first-up run was really impressive after he defied a sharp market drift to win his lead-up run at Tamworth by two lengths. 

He boasts a very sharp turn of foot that a lot of this field lacks and he will be trained to the minute to peak into this race. 

Barrier 11 raises the only concern about this horse. 

Odds: $4.6 the win and $1.90 the place
Finishing position: Third

#8 Ice in Vancouver

Cody Morgan

Was on a massive upward spiral until his failure in town as a $5 elect last year.

Has been running well at country level, but is yet to do anything of note in the city. 

Staying away from him. If he wins it will be a shock.

Odds: $31 the win and $7.5 the place
Finishing position: Thirteenth

#9 Island Bay Boy

Tony Sergi

Plowed through the heavy going at Queanbeyan to win by two-and-a-half lengths as a $1.8 favourite in BM-75 grade.

We know he can handle the wet going which is a big tick. 

Jason Collett usually gets tricky on these type of get-back and run-on runners. 

Expect him to snick back to last and use the rails run the whole way. 

Will beat a few home, but will not be winning.

Odds: $21 the win and $6 the place.
Finishing position: Eighth

#10 Nadaraja

Stephen Jones

He just keeps getting better every time he steps up in grade.

The problem here is all his form comes at Scone over 1100 metres. 

The 1200-metre Randwick circuit with a heap of pace on up front is a completely different realm to what he has faced in his career. 

He does know how to win and will likely find himself landing within striking distance of the leaders. 

Has a really nice turn of foot, which is such an advantage in these races, but this level of race looks to be a little too soon in what what will likely be a promising career

Odds: $11 the win and $3.5 the place
Finishing position: Ninth

#11 Mr Hussill

Cameron Crockett

Can win this race purely on the form of jockey Regan Bayliss.

He ran really well in a Highway Handicap last start when getting all the way back to second last from a wide barrier and scooting home to finish second. 

Was only beaten a half-length and the speed map looks so much better for him in this race. 

He can be the each-way play in the race if you like a bet at longer odds. 

Odds: $19 the win and $5.5 the place
Finishing position: Fourth

#12 Ceasefire

Paul Messara

Won a low-rating BM-66 race at Scone over 1100 metres.

Barrier 13 just about crushes his chances.  

Odds: $31 the win and $7.5 the place.
Finishing position: Twelfth

#13 Patino Ruby

Brett cavanough

The big positive for her is her last two runs have been city races at Rosehill and Randwick.

She is trained by Brett Cavanough who guided home the winner of the 2020 edition of this race with It’s Me.   

Has since looked very sharp at a Muswellbrook trial over 1000 metres to keep her legs ticking over for the grand -final race. 

Will need a little bit of luck from the inside barrier. 

Odds: $16 the win and $4.8 the place.
Finishing position: Sixth

#14 Sunrise Ruby

Mitchell Beer

Booked her spot in the race with a smart win at Randwick on July 31.

She started a $9.5 elect in that race and went on to defeat $2.8 favourite Mr Hussill when they went head to head. 

Since then, she ran second in a BM-72 at the Randwick Kensington circuit on a heavy track. 

Think Mr Hussill will turn the tables on her here, with the push here being a massive price differential. 

An outside chance based on her last run. 

Odds: $15 the win and $4.4 the place.
Finishing position: Tenth

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