We head to the town of the orange farms with the Mildura Cup headlining Friday racing in Victoria.
The Wizard of Odds has filtered his way through the program to find the best value propositions as we head into the weekend.
Mildura Race 1
#4 Chadstone
Chadstone will win this and here is why;
He has been way too far back in the run at this first two career runs to date and has smashed the line on both occasions.
What bodes well for him is the rise in distance to 2000 metres against arguably the slowest horses he has faced in his career.
It will mean he is well within striking distance at the point of the corner and he can let down with his sustained sprint to knock this field off.
Suggested Bet: Chadstone win at $2.2
Mildura Race 3
#4 I'm a bronco
Another short-priced Paddy Payne-trained runner but he looks a like a $1.60 shot in such a plain maiden race.
His debut was a nice runner-up finish over 1209 metres at Echuca when settling last in the field and scorching home.
The 1300 metres around Mildura looks ideal for him and just hoping Will Gordon is much more positive away from the barriers than the last start.
If he settles midfield and gets the gaps they will have a tough time of it keeping him away from the finish post in first spot.
Suggested Bet: I’m A Bronco win at $2.30
Mildura race 4
#2 PRavro
Going with the old boy Pravro who has a spring in his step despite being a bit long in the tooth as an eight-year-old gelding.
Thought his run at Swan Hill was actually better than what it reads on paper after showing good speed to zip along in the lead and just feel the pinch late in a BM-78 over 1200 metres.
The drop back to 1000 metres and BM-70 grade should see him well in this race and expect Josh Richards to a take sit rather than forcing the issue early.
There looks to be a fair bit of early speed in this race and saving a finishing burst for late in the piece looks the way to go.
Suggested Bet: Pravro win at $4.4
Suggested Exotic: Exacta 5 & 2
Mildura Race 7
#4 Street Tough
Will Clarken might have just won this Mildura Cup before the race has even begun.
Street Tough is perfectly placed to take home the prize after tough perfect conditioning runs to get him ready for this 1400-metre feature event.
He tumbles down in the weights to 54kgs and jockey Dean Holland, who is riding in career best form, only has to negate barrier three.
The six-year-old gelding is well adept at handling tracks of all conditions and should get the run of the race.
Suggested Bet: Street Tough win at $2.4.
Suggested Exotic: Boxed First Four- 1, 3, 4, 5, 6
