The Wizard of Odds goes through the Wednesday card from Sandown Lakeside to find the best bets.
He is tipping Jamie Kah to get her 100th metro winner this season in the fourth event of the day.
Sandown Hillside Race 1
#2 Semenuk
The form analysis of this race was like splitting hairs between Semenuk and Scientific but we are siding with the former.
Semenuk races on the quick back-up after running well behind Crestani who dominated out in front at this track last week.
He was beaten by four-and-a-half lengths that day but racing on a week later suggests he has pulled up brilliantly from the run.
Wide barrier should not be an issue given this horse looks like he would prefer to be out wide and in clean air rather than bailed up on the inside of runners.
Best of the day.
Suggested Bet: Semenuk win at $2.80
Sandown Hillside Race 2
#8 Cafe Rizu
Cafe Rizu was resuming first-up from a spell over the mile at Sandown Lakeside last start and produced a solid enough effort.
The three-year-old filly finished five lengths off Merle The Pearl on the soft seven track and should vastly improve for the run from a fitness perspective.
If she can tighten up a further 2-3 lengths as expected here then she should be in the finish or at least running a place.
She has a $3.9 starting price at 1800 metres in a higher grade race which she actually won.
Now we get double the price to see if she can replicate that winning run but in a lower grade event.
Suggested Bet: Cafe Rizu each-way at $7 the win and $2.35
Suggested Exotic: Trifecta – 3, 8/ 3, 6, 8/ 3, 6, 8, 10
Sandown Hillside Race 4
#4 So Risque
So Risque defied the market drift on debut to win very nicely at Swan Hill over 1200 metres.
The stars align for this three-year-old gelding from the newly established Ben Hayes and James David Hayes partnership; he gets Jamie Kah & barrier one.
Kah should be able to position her mount either in the lead or one pair back on the rails which is the ideal spot for Sandown Hillside.
Expecting this galloper to tighten up in the coat and show another two to four lengths improvement from that debut run.
If that occurs, we’ll be counting our money before the winning post appears.
Suggested Bet: So Risque win at $3.4
Suggested Exotic: Boxed Trifecta – 3, 4, 6, 8,
Sandown Hillside Race 5
#11 Unfair Dismissal
Unfair Dismissal has been racing very well despite not having conditions or race shapes to suit.
He has been a victim of circumstance at his first three runs this preparation.
First-up he copped a heavy track over a distance short of his best, and then battled home well in his last two starts at Sandown Lakeside over 1400 metres.
The rise in distance to 1600 metres should allow to him settle closer to the lead speed or even potentially in take up the lead should Lachie King decide to be uber positive from the inside barrier.
Being an unabashed fan of the quick back-up is always a tick in the books when a trainer opts to do so as we see here.
Suggested Bet: Unfair Dismissal each-way at $8.5 the win and $2.90 the place
Sandown Hillside Race 8
#15 Moor Wanted
Moor Wanted was given almost no mathematical at winning his most recent start after being reefed to the rear half of the field on a heavy Warrnambool track.
He ended up finish just over six lengths off the winner as he a struggled to make up ground through the sloppy track.
This race looks to offer him a much better chance at winning than last start as he draws an inside barrier, rises in distance to 1300 metres and gets the services of Damien Oliver.
Expect him to settle on the speed and give this a big shake at long odds if he can find the front without being pestered.
Suggested Bet: Moor Wanted each-way at $18 the win and $5.5 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Trifecta – 9, 15/ 4, 6, 9, 15/ 4, 6, 8, 9, 15
