The Punters Prince goes through a tricky Tancred Stakes field to find us the winner and value plays in the race.
With a rain-sodden track at Rosehill, the Prince is looking a stayer on the rise who loves the wet going.
#1 think it over
kerry parker
An absolute marvel for the Kerry Parker stable who has not put a foot wrong this campaign.
Coming to the Sydney way of going should help his cause, but the query on him is running a strong 2400 metres.
He seemed to be all out at the end of the 2000-metre Australian Cup a fortnight ago.
Odds: $4.2 the win and $1.60 the place.
Finishing position: Fourth
#2 spanish mission
peter moody
Was smashed in the betting when trying to lead the field all the way in the Australian Cup last start.
He was likely a run or two short of being at his best, but that effort will see his fitness elevate to a new level.
A winning chance, but his price is a bit thin and he is yet to race on a genuinely heavy track.
Odds: $3.90 the win and $1.50 the place.
Finishing position: Second
#3 The chosen one
murray baker & andrew forsman
As honest a stayer as they come.
He is getting a bit old now and has all the zest left in his legs to run big races across the Tasman.
His wet track form, however, is not up to par here.
Odds: $20 the win and $4.8 the place.
Finishing position: Eighth
#4 stockman
joseph pride
A mudlark who will be praying for more rain.
He is a horse who just loves dipping his into the rain-sodden tracks.
Seven starts on heavy surfaces for four wins and two placings highlight how strongly he powers through the going.
Should get the right run from barrier five and you know he will run out the distance with power.
Odds: $12 the win and 3.3 the place.
Finishing position: First
#5 great house
chris waller
Doubt Chris Waller at your own peril, but this horse looks outclassed.
Would be a shock if he wins.
Odds: $31 the win and $6 the place.
Finishing position: Ninth
#6 angel of truth
m, j & hawkes
Plugs away in these Group 1 races without ever wining them.
Will be there or about.
Cannot recommend her as a winning prospect based on her long run of outs.
Odds: $18 the win and $4.20 the place
Finishing position: Seventh
#7 sheraz
chris waller
Promised a fair bit when landing over here from France.
Chris Waller just seems to have not been able to find this galloper’s best form.
Has struggled in nearly every run here and it is unlikely he will trouble the scorers.
Odds: $26 the win and $5.5 the place
Finishing position: Tenth
#8 avion fury
ian finn
What is he doing here?
Sure, it will be a great day for connections, but he should be millions.
Odds: $101 the win and $26 the place.
Finishing position: Last
#9 mightybeel
chris waller
Gets a chance to run in a Group 1 race.
Would probably be better served getting back to handicap level and going down in grade.
Looks outgunned here.
Odds: $26 the win and $5.50 the place
Finishing position: Seventh
#10 she's ideel
bjorn baker
She was thrashed at Flemington in the Australian Cup.
There was a bit of specking around for her in the market last start, so that has to be respected.
Returning to Sydney will serve her much better and the heavy track will be to her liking.
Probably just a wrung below the best in this race.
Odds: $10 the win and $2.80 the place
Finishing position: Fifth
#11 duais
edward cummings
Duais brings in the strongest weight-for-age form having won the Australian Cup last start.
Getting onto the dry going is what greatly assisted her victory, but she does will not get that scenario here.
Her win was full of merit, however, the $2.90 is a very short price.
Big query on the wet tracks.
Odds: $2.90 the win and $1.30 the place
Finishing position: Third
