The best bets from Pakenham synthetic and Wagga as we head into another weekend of Group 1 racing.
Let’s get stuck into preview.
Pakenham Race 1
#5 Mottram
Mottram resumed quite well at at this track over 1200 metres.
He drew barrier one, got slightly held up for a run at the top of the straight and then raced in tight room for the majority of the straight.
The market suggested he would need the run after drifting from $3.6 out to $6.
He draws off the fence here but still nearer the inside from barrier two so Ben Allen will need to be at his to navigate into clear air.
Expect him to start shorter than the current $4.4 quote and he looks a nice way to start the Pakenham program.
Suggested Bet: Mottram win at $4.4
Pakenham Race 5
#7 Quenton
Quenton can be a bit hit and miss at the start of her races but if she finds the front she can lead this for a long way.
Not sure how adept she will be over 1200 metres as it is likely she will be paddling late in the race, but she’s a massive price.
The last time she was in BM-58 grade she won as an $8 chance despite that race only being over 1000m.
The fact she led at her last start in BM-64 grade might be a sign she has put those tardy starts behind her.
Suggested Bet: Quenton each-way at $20 the win and $5 the place.
Pakenham Race 7
#4 Kermy
Kermy ran very well behind the smart Riot and Rose who has subsequently come out and won well in Saturday metropolitan grade.
He, Super Yulong and Read My Future are the clear three picks that should fight out this race but Kermy has the fitness advantage over the two.
Super Yulong is first-up, Read My Future has never raced over the distance but the three-year-old Phillip Stokes-trained gelding has a big base of residual fitness that will see him hard to beat.
Expect him to ping to the lead from a middle barrier and lead all the way.
Suggested Bet: Kermy win at $3.2
Wagga Race 1
#2 Chiranjeev
Chiranjeev debuted nicely at Kembla Grange over 1000 metres.
He settle one pair back on the rails and grinded away well to the line to run third.
Was only narrowly beaten and now finds a race where he can get complete control of the lead.
The drop down to country grade and heading straight to the front should be a recipe for success.
Improving track conditions at Wagga should also enhance the chances of seeing his best given he raced on a soft seven on debut.
Suggested Bet: Chiranjeev win at $2.8
Suggested Exotic: Boxed Trifecta – 2, 5 ,6
Wagga Race 7
#3 Revolver
Revolver probably gets the best chance to break through for that so far illustrious sixth career victory.
The set-up for this race looks ideal with a strong jockey in Blaike McDougall taking the ride.
He raced up on the speed over 900 metres at Albury on a soft seven track and was narrowly beaten.
A return to Wagga might just be exactly what this horse given his only start at the track was a win.
At the very least he should be running in the placings if he can’t find the finish post first.
Suggested bet: Revolver win at $5 the win and $2 the place.
Suggested Exotic: Boxed Trifecta – 3, 4, 12, 13
